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Score: 81.65/100. 4.6M people. $126K income.
Data-Driven Market Intelligence
Best Coffee Shop Location in San Francisco
San Francisco's $126K income demographic and 91/100 foot traffic align with coffee shop requirements: $125,000 capital, 12-24 months profitability horizon.
Capital requirements for San Francisco: $125K startup facing $126K earning households at 1.0x leverage.
81/100 opportunity score
4,566,000 metro residents
$126,000 average income
73/100 launch timing score
Good - Favorable Window
808K
City Population
$126K
HH Income
Very High
Biz Concentration
5
Economic Drivers
Interactive Location Finder
Find the Best Coffee Shop Location in San Francisco
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Coffee Shop Finder
San Francisco, United States
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Competitor Locations
Opportunity Zones
High Traffic Areas
4,566,000 potential customers in metro area
500+ businesses helped
Real-time market data
AI-powered recommendations
Market Analysis
Market Readiness: Coffee Shop in San Francisco
What makes San Francisco distinct for coffee shop operators
81
/ 100
Market Opportunity
Based on 7 comprehensive market factors
High Potential
Financial Overview
Average Startup Cost
$125,000
Industry Success Rate
38%
Expected ROI Timeline
12-24 months
Customer Draw Radius
1,200m
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Unique Market Intelligence
Inside San Francisco's Commercial Landscape
systematic opportunity mapping
Market Position
San Francisco positioning
Capital requirements for San Francisco: $125K startup facing $126K earning households at 1.0x leverage.
Operating in San Francisco: $75/sqft rent, 91-point foot traffic, $75,000/mo baseline for 1K sqft unit.
4.6M metro residents earning $126,000 on average create a $575B addressable market.
Entry conditions: 1.0x funding multiple against very high competition and high trajectory.
Calculated viability of 84/100 based on 1.0x investment, 91 foot traffic, $75 occupancy.
Technology and Finance anchor San Francisco's $126K-income economy.
Steady 2.5% growth with very high competition indicates mature market conditions.
$125K startup. 12 local income-months to break even.
Competitive Position
National ranking for coffee shops
Score: 81.65/100. 4.6M people. $126K income.
Coffee Shop costs $125K to open. Income ratio: 1.01x.
Traffic: 91. Rent: $75/sqft. Income: $126K.
High growth. Very High competition. Score: 81.65.
4.6M metro. $75/sqft rent. 91 foot traffic.
$125K startup. $75,000/mo rent. 12 income-months to recoup.
Score 81.65 despite high competition. Market is proven.
$575.3B total income across 4.6M people.
Strategic Recommendations
Actionable strategies tailored for San Francisco
High growth. Very High competition. Plan accordingly.
Traffic: 91. Rent: $75/sqft. $75,000/mo for 1000 sqft.
$126K income. Premium pricing viable. Margins can be strong.
Coffee Shop: $125K to open. 12 income-months to recoup.
Traffic 91. Rent $75/sqft. Storefront is your marketing.
4.6M metro. $126K income. 2-3 locations possible.
$900,000/yr rent. 714.3% of local income. Factor that in.
High growth absorbs Very High competition. Worth entering.
Launch Timing & Momentum
Align your opening window with market-ready signals
Entry Signal
Good - Favorable Window
Strong market conditions support entry. Develop detailed business plan and secure financing within next 3-6 months.
Timing score: 73/100
- 📈 High growth outlook - strong expansion timing
- ⚠️ Very high competition - niche positioning required
- 👥 Exceptional foot traffic (91) - strong discovery
Seasonal Levers
- Summer iced drinks
- Winter specialty drinks
- Student seasons
National Benchmarks
How San Francisco dominates
scaled across 4.6M consumers
Household earnings of $126,000 in San Francisco represent a 211% premium versus the $40,492 market average.
Operating costs at $75/sqft represent a 131% premium compared to $33/sqft typical rates.
The 91/100 pedestrian score represents 16% stronger organic discovery versus market baseline (79/100).
San Francisco's 4.6M metro area is 19% larger than typical (3.8M), providing scale advantages.
Coffee Shop Market Analysis for San Francisco
Why San Francisco for Coffee Shops?
- Metro population of 4,566,000 provides large customer base
- Average income of $126,000 supports coffee shop spending
- Very High business density indicates healthy economic activity
- Strong morning traffic opportunities throughout the city
- Strong office density opportunities throughout the city
Coffee Shop Success Factors
Morning traffic
Essential
Office density
Essential
Competition
Essential
Parking
Essential
Ambiance potential
Essential
Wi-Fi infrastructure
Essential
Coffee Shop Market Insights for San Francisco
Educated professionals provide strong coffee shop customer base
Tech industry provides ideal customer base for coffee shops and co-working spaces
Exceptional foot traffic creates natural customer discovery and impulse purchases
Seasonal Considerations for San Francisco
Summer iced drinks
Winter specialty drinks
Student seasons
District-by-District: San Francisco
Where $75/sqft meets 91/100 foot traffic in San Francisco
Downtown San Francisco
High Potential
Highest foot traffic in city
Premium pricing potential
Diverse customer base
Business District
Strong Weekday
Office worker demographics
Peak lunch & after-work hours
Catering opportunities
Suburban Areas
Growth Area
Family-oriented demographics
Lower competition density
Ample parking available
San Francisco vs Other United States Cities for Coffee Shops
Market Signals
Coffee Shop Insights Unique to San Francisco
Every business + city URL now shows a different mix of ratios, rent dynamics, and demand levers.
02
SoMa pairs high foot traffic with 88/100—ideal for coffee shop concepts testing new formats.
03
In San Francisco, Parking becomes the tiebreaker.
04
Compared to Atlanta, San Francisco scores -9 points higher—explaining the real estate premium.
05
Market fundamentals place San Francisco at 82/100 for coffee shops: $126,000 average wages meet 91/100 pedestrian density.
06
Capital requirements for San Francisco: $125K startup facing $126K earning households at 1.0x leverage.
FAQ
Coffee Shop FAQs for San Francisco
Each answer references real San Francisco data so this section is unique across the site.
What makes the San Francisco market distinctive?
Capital requirements for San Francisco: $125K startup facing $126K earning households at 1.0x leverage.
Which neighborhood suits a coffee shop in San Francisco?
SoMa is optimized for coffee shops thanks to its high traffic and 88/100. Use it as a benchmark when touring sites.
What operational lever matters most for coffee shops in San Francisco?
Parking should lead your playbook when launching in San Francisco.
How does San Francisco compare to other coffee shop markets?
San Francisco's -9-point edge over Atlanta stems from better income demographics and foot traffic patterns.
What playbook works best for coffee shops in San Francisco?
High growth. Very High competition. Plan accordingly.
Data Sources & Methodology
Our analysis combines multiple authoritative data sources
Economic Data
- World Bank Open Data
- International Monetary Fund (IMF)
- National Census Bureaus
Business Intelligence
- Ease of Doing Business Index
- Global Innovation Index
- Industry Association Reports
Demographics
- UN Population Division
- Municipal Open Data Portals
- Consumer Expenditure Surveys
Real Estate
- Commercial Real Estate Listings
- CoStar Market Analytics
- Local Zoning Databases
Methodology Note: Our opportunity scores are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers population density, income levels, competition saturation, commercial rent costs, and industry-specific success factors. Data is refreshed quarterly from authoritative sources. Individual results may vary based on specific business circumstances, local regulations, and market conditions not captured in aggregate data.
Ready to Open Your Coffee Shop in San Francisco?
Good - Favorable Window with a 81/100 opportunity score, very high competition, and a 91/100 foot traffic index. Strong market conditions support entry. Develop detailed business plan and secure financing within next 3-6 months.